Publications

Publications Refereed Publications

Jha, M., Z. Pan, E. S. Takle, R. Gu, 2004: Impact of climate change on stream flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin: A regional climate model perspective. Journal of Geophysical Research., 109, D09105, doi:10.1029/2003JD003686.

Pan, Z., R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., C. J. Anderson, and M. Segal, 2004: Altered hydrologic feedback in a warming climate introduces a "warming hole". Geophysical Research Letters. 31, L17109, doi:10.1029/2004GL020528.

Gutowski, W. J., F. Otieno, R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle and Z. Pan, 2004: Diagnosis and attribution of a seasonal precipitation deficit in a U.S. regional climate simulation. J. Hydrometeor., 5, 230-242.

Takle, E. S., and Z. Pan, 2003: Climate Change and Crop Production: Challenges to Modeling Future Scenarios. In Lal, R., J. Duxbury, B. A. Stewart, and D. O. Hansen, 2003:, ed., Climate Change and Global Food Security. Marcel Dekker. (in press)

Segal, M., Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle, 2003: On the potential change in solar radiation over the U.S. due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Submitted to Int. J. Renewable Energy.

Anderson, C. J., R. W. Arritt, E.S. Takle, Z. Pan, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., F. O. Otieno, R. da Silva, D. Caya, J. H. Christensen, D. Luthi, M. A. Gaertner, C. Gallardo, F. Giorgi, S.-Y. Hong, C. Jones, H.-M. H. Juang, J. J. Katzfey, W. M. Lapenta, R. Laprise, J. W. Larson, G. E. Liston, J. L. McGregor, R. A. Pielke, Sr., J. O. Roads, and J. A. Taylor, 2003: Hydrological processes in regional climate model simulations of the central United States flood of June-July 1993. J. Hydrometeor., 4, 584-598.

Gutowski, W.J. Jr., S.G. Decker, R.A. Donavon, Z. Pan, R.W. Arritt, and E.S. Takle, 2003: Temporal scale of precipitation errors in central US climate simulation. J. Climate, 16, 3841-3847.

Pan, Z., E.S. Takle, R. Horton, amd M. Segal, 2002: Warm-seasonal soil moisture prediction using a coupled regional climate model. 16th Conference on Hydrology. American Meteorological Society, Orlando FL.

Hay, L.E., M.P. Clark, R.L. Wilby, W. J. Gutowski Jr., R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, Z. Pan and G.H. Leavesley, 2002: Use of Regional Climate Model Output for Hydrologic Simulations. J. Hydrometeor. (in press).

Kunkel, K. E., K. Andsager, X.-Z. Liang, R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, W. J. Gutowski, Jr. and Z. Pan. 2002: Observations and regional climate model simulations of extreme precipitation events and seasonal anomalies: A comparison. J. Hydrometeor., 3, 322-334.

Segal, M., Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle, 2001: On the potential change in wind power over the U.S. due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Int. J. Renewable Energy 24, 235-243.

Pan, Z., J. H. Christensen, R. A. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., E. S. Takle, and F. Otenio, 2001: Evaluation of uncertainties in regional climate change simulations. J. Geophys. Res. 106, 17,735-17,752.

Gutowski, W. J. Jr., S. G. Decker, R. A. Donavon, Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle, 2001: Temporal scale of precipitation errors in central US climate simulation. Submitted to J. Climate.

Pan, Z., R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and E. S. Takle, 2001: Soil moisture in a regional climate model: simulation and projection. Geophys. Res. Lett, 28, 2947-2950.

Wilby, R. L., L.E. Hay, W. J. Gutowski ,Jr, R. W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, G. H. Leavesley, and M. Clark, 2000: Hydrological responses to dynamically and statistically downscaled general circulation model output. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 1199-1202.

Presentations

Mearns, L.O., 2004: North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Abstract for AMS Conference.

Gutowski, W. J., Jr., E. S. Takle, and R. W. Arritt, 2004: Transferability experiments with RegCM3. ICTP Workshop on Regional Climate. Trieste Italy.

Takle, E. S., W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and R. W. Arritt, 2004: Transferability experiments for addressing challenges to understanding global water and energy budgets. Regional-Scale Climate Modeling Workshop. World Climate Research Programme. Lund Sweden.

Takle, E. S. , M. Jha, Z. Pan, and R. Gu, 2004: Impacts of climate change on stream flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin: A regional climate model perspective. Regional-Scale Climate Modeling Workshop. World Climate Research Programme. Lund Sweden.

Takle, E. S., 2003: Impact of climate change on stream flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin. Ninth Annual GEWEX Hydrometeorology Panel Meeting, Lüneberg Germany.

Takle, E. S. W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and R. W. Arritt, 2003: Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations: Contributions to transferability. Ninth Annual GEWEX Hydrometeorology Panel Meeting, Lüneberg Germany.

Anderson, C. J., R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, J. A. Taylor, M. Dvorak, J. O. Roads, and A. Nunes. The North American Monsoon (NAM) in regional climate model simulations. 14th Conference on Applied Climatology, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Seattle, WA.

Takle, E. S., 2003: Carbon dioxide, climate change, and carbon sequestration. Workshop on Carbon Sequestration, Annual Meeting of Stockholders Basin Electric. Bismarck ND. 1,000 attendees. Invited presentation.

Arritt, R. W., Z. Pan, E. S. Takle, C. J. Anderson, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and J. H. Christensen, 2003: Importance of mesoscale processes in climate change projections. IUGG meeting.

Takle, E. S., Z. Pan, And W. Batchelor, 2003: Two-way coupling of crop-climate interactions in a regional climate model. 17th Conference on Hydrology. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach.

Jha, M., Z. Pan, E. S. Takle, and R. Gu, 2003: Climate change induced stream flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin. 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach.

Pan, Z, R. Horton, M. Segal, E. S. Takle, D. Herzmann, and D. Todey, 2003: Seasonal soil moisture prediction using a climate-plant-soil coupled agroecosystem water management model. 17th Conference on Hydrology. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach.

Pan, Z., M. Jha, E.S. Takle, and R. Gu, 2002: Regional climate model based water quality assessment for climate change in the Upper Mississippi River Basin. Second ICTP Conf. on Detection and Modeling of Regional Climate Change. 30 September - 4 October, 2002. Trieste Italy.

Takle, E. S., Z. Pan, D. Miller, and J.H. Christensen, 2002: Impacts assessment confidence based on uncertainty propagation from a regional climate model to a crop yield model. Second ICTP Conf. on Detection and Modeling of Regional Climate Change. 30 September - 4 October, 2002. Trieste Italy.

Pan, Z., S. E. Bryant, E. S. Takle, R. W. Arritt, C. J. Anderson, and W. J. Gutowski, Jr., 2001: Verification and future-scenario projections of snow depth and soil moisture in a regional climate model. Eighth Scientific Assembly, International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, 10-18 July, Innsbruck.

Pan, Z., R.W. Arritt, J.H. Christensen, W.J. Gutowski, and E.S. Takle, 2001: Evaluation of extreme precipitation simulation in regional climate models. European Geophysical Society XXVI General Assembly. Nice France, 25 - 30 March 2001.

Kim, J., N. L. Miller, T.-K. Kim, R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and E. S. Takle, 2001: Downscaled climate change scenario for the western U. S. using MAS-SPS Model nested within the HadCM2 scenario. 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Albuquerque, NM

Miller, N. I., , W.J. Gutowski Jr., Z. Pan, J. H. Christensen, R.K. Hartman, R.W. Arritt, E. S. Takle, and O. B. Christensen, 2001: Assessing California Streamflow under present day and a 2040 to 2049 climate change scenario. 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies, Amer. Meteorol. Soc., Albuquerque, NM

Bryant, S. E., E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, C. J. Anderson, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and R. W. Arritt, 2001: Evaluation of precipitation, snow-water equivalent, daily max/min temperatures and climate feedback in a regional climate model. European Geophysical Society XXVI General Assembly. Nice France.

Takle, E. S., Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and W. J. Gutowski, Jr., 2001: Changes in snow depth and soil moisture from regional climate model simulations of future scenario climates. 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Albuquerque, NM.

Arritt, R. W., R. Wilby, L. E. Hay, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., C. J. Anderson, M. P. Clark, G. H. Leavesley, Z. Pan, R. Silva, and E. S. Takle, 2000: Comparison of statistical and dynamical downscaling for evaluating climate change impacts on water resources. International Workshop on Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management. Wengen Switzerland.

Pan, Z., J. H. Christensen, R. W. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Jr., and E. S. Takle, 2000: Ten-year US regional climate simulations for impacts assessments. 11th Symposium on Global Change Studies. Amer Meteor. Soc., Long Beach, CA 9-14 January.

Gutowski, W. J., Jr., R. Wilby, L. E. Hay, C. J. Anderson, R. W. Arritt, M. P. Clark, G. H. Leavesley, Z. Pan, R. Silva, and E. S. Takle, 2000: Statistical and dynamical downscaling of global model output for US National Assessment hydrological analyses. 11th Symposium on Global Change Studies. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach, CA 9-14 January (extended abstract)

Pan, Z., J.H. Christensen, R.W. Arritt, W.J. Gutowski, E.S. Takle, and F. Otieno, 2000: Contrasting biases in regional climate simulations to climate changes. International Conference & Young Scientist Workshop on Asian Monsoon Environmental System and Global Change.

Pan, Z, J.H. Christensen, R.W.Arritt, W. .J. Gutowski, Jr., E. S. Takle, and C.J. Anderson, 1999: Assessment of Regional Climate Change Simulation for Impacts Analysis. Conference on Detection and Modeling of Regional Climate Change. Trieste Italy 9 - 12 June 1999.

Gutowski, W. J., R. L. Wilby, L. E. Hay, E. S. Takle, R.W. Arritt, Z. Pan, 1999: Statistical versus Dynamical Downscaling for Hydrologic Analysis. Workshop on Regional Climate Prediction and Downscaling Techniques for South America, 8-10 September 1999, Petropolis, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. [invited] (extended abstract)

Takle, E. S., Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and W. J. Gutowski, Jr., 1998: Use of limited area models to develop regional climate scenarios. Global Climate Change: Science, Policy, and Mitigation /Adaptation Strategies. Air & Waste Management Association Second International Specialty Conference. Washington, DC.

Powerpoint Presentations

@ START center in Beijing (various aspects of 10-y results; Feb 2002)
http://www.pircs.iastate.edu/people/Gutowski/Presentations/10_year/

@ START center in Beijing (Stat downscaling vs. RCM; Feb 2002)
http://www.pircs.iastate.edu/people/Gutowski/Presentations/STAT_LAM/

@ Cal Energy Mtg (focus on Pan's confidence test; Jun 2002)
http://www.pircs.iastate.edu/people/Gutowski/Presentations/CalEnergy/

@ Cape Town (focus on Francis's thesis research; Sep 2002)
http://www.pircs.iastate.edu/people/Gutowski/Presentations/SASAS.01.09/

@ ISU Plant Pathology (general on Reg Climate + confidence int.; Mar 2001)
http://www.pircs.iastate.edu/people/Gutowski/Presentations/PlantPath/

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